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Trade News Weekly Global News

US Industrial Output Recorded Strongest Growth in Nearly a Year

Industrial production in the United States reportedly rose by 0.7% in January 2026, surpassing expectations and marking the strongest monthly gain in nearly a year, according to data released by the Federal Reserve on March 16. The increase was largely driven by a 0.6% rise in manufacturing output, which showed broad-based growth across industries, suggesting resilience in factory activity despite economic uncertainties. While mining output declined slightly, utilities output increased notably, likely due to seasonal energy demand. Capacity utilization also edged higher to 76.2%, though it remained below long-term averages, indicating that overall industrial capacity was still not fully utilized.

US Pending Home Sales Expected to Rebound After Prior Weakness

The National Association of Realtors projected that US pending home sales increased by 1.9% month-over-month, reversing earlier expectations of a decline and suggesting a moderate rebound in housing contract activity. As a leading indicator of future home sales, the data indicated that buyer interest may have recovered following prior weakness, possibly supported by seasonal factors or changing financing conditions. While some analysts viewed the improvement as a sign of stabilizing demand, caution remained due to ongoing economic uncertainties. The anticipated rise was also seen as potentially supportive for the US dollar, depending on how closely actual data aligned with forecasts.

Euro Area Inflation Forecast Edged Higher to 2.0%

Euro area inflation was projected to rise modestly, with the Consumer Price Index forecast at 2.0% year-on-year, slightly above the previous estimate of 1.8%, according to Eurostat data. The increase suggested continued, though moderate, pressure on consumer prices across the region, reflecting shifts in the cost of goods and services. As a key measure of inflation and purchasing power, the CPI provided insights into evolving price trends, though analysts noted that even small changes could influence broader economic assessments. Despite the upward revision, the outlook was interpreted cautiously, as final figures remained subject to economic conditions, energy prices, and demand dynamics.

US Jobless Claims Average Declined, Signaling Labor Stability

The four-week average of initial jobless claims in the United States reportedly declined to 212,000 in early March from 216,000, indicating a slight easing in layoffs and suggesting continued labor market stability. As a less volatile measure, the four-week average reflected broader employment conditions and was seen as a sign of resilience despite economic uncertainties. Historical comparisons showed the metric remained well below long-term averages, though analysts cautioned against drawing firm conclusions from the modest decline. The data was expected to contribute to ongoing assessments of labor market trends, with further releases needed to confirm any sustained movement.

Canada NHPI Declined, Signaling Continued Housing Market Softness

Canada’s New Housing Price Index declined by 0.2% in March 2026, matching expectations and indicating continued softness in the housing market, according to Statistics Canada. The data suggested subdued price momentum, reflecting cautious buyer sentiment and the influence of factors such as interest rates and construction costs. As a leading indicator, the NHPI pointed to restrained demand and limited near-term price growth, with potential implications for construction activity and investment decisions. The in-line reading provided minimal support to the Canadian dollar, reinforcing the view of a stable but weak housing sector outlook.

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