Trade News Weekly Data

Trade News Weekly Data

Mexico CPI Forecast Pointed to Possible Inflation Slowdown

Mexico’s National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI) released the Consumer Price Index report on March 9, 2026, indicating that the country’s annual inflation rate had been forecast at 3.32%, down from the previous projection of 3.86%. The estimate suggested that price growth across the consumer basket may have moderated compared with earlier expectations. The CPI, which measures year-over-year changes in prices of a wide range of goods and services purchased by households, remained a key indicator used to monitor inflation and cost-of-living trends. Analysts noted that the projected easing in inflation could have reflected stabilizing supply conditions or shifting demand pressures, although the final outcome still depended on broader economic developments. The data was likely monitored closely by policymakers and investors for signals about inflation trends and potential implications for monetary policy and the Mexican peso.

US Existing Home Sales Forecast Suggested Market Slowdown

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) released a report on March 10, 2026, indicating that existing home sales in the United States had been projected at around 3.75 million, lower than the earlier forecast of 4.10 million. The estimate suggested that activity in the secondary housing market may have slowed during the reported period, as the data included only completed transactions of previously owned homes. Existing home sales remained an important indicator used to assess housing demand, consumer confidence, and overall conditions in the real estate sector. Analysts noted that the softer projection could have reflected factors such as borrowing costs, housing supply, and broader economic conditions. Investors and economists were likely to monitor the data closely, as housing trends often provide insight into economic momentum and can influence sentiment surrounding the U.S. dollar.

Core CPI Forecast Suggested Slight Rise in US Inflation

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released data on March 11, 2026, indicating that the Core Consumer Price Index had been forecast to rise by 0.2% month-over-month, slightly higher than the earlier projection of 0.1%. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, remained an important measure used to evaluate underlying inflation trends in the United States. The index compared current prices of consumer goods and services with those recorded during the 1982 reference period, offering insight into longer-term cost-of-living changes. Analysts suggested that the modest increase may have indicated slightly stronger underlying price pressures, although the overall change still appeared moderate. Market participants were expected to assess the report alongside other economic indicators when evaluating inflation conditions and potential monetary policy implications.

US Jobless Claims Forecast Suggested Stable Labor Market

The United States Department of Labor released Initial Jobless Claims data on March 12 indicating that first-time unemployment benefit applications had been projected at around 221,000 for the reported week, slightly lower than the previous forecast of 222,000. The figure suggested relatively stable labor market conditions during the period under review. Initial Jobless Claims remained a closely watched indicator as it measured the number of individuals filing for unemployment insurance for the first time, often providing early signals about layoffs and employment trends. Analysts noted that weekly figures could be volatile, which is why the four-week moving average was typically used to assess broader labor market conditions. The data was likely observed closely by investors and economists seeking insight into employment stability and its potential influence on the US dollar and economic outlook.

Core PCE Forecast Suggested Slight Rise in US Inflation

Estimates released ahead of the Bureau of Economic Analysis data publication on March 13 suggested that the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index had been expected to rise by 0.3% month-over-month in February, compared with the earlier forecast of 0.2%. The Core PCE index, which excludes food and energy prices, remained one of the Federal Reserve’s preferred indicators for assessing underlying inflation trends in the United States. The projected increase indicated that inflationary pressures may have strengthened slightly during the period, although analysts noted that broader economic data would be required to confirm any sustained trend. Market participants were likely to monitor the release closely, as stronger inflation readings can influence monetary policy expectations and currency movements, particularly in relation to the US dollar.